Five and a half weeks before the state election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the AfD continues to hold a clear first place, according to a new opinion poll. The survey carried out by the Insa Consulere institute for the Neubrandenburg-based newspaper "Nordkurier", published on Thursday, puts the party at 36 percent. That represents a gain of one percentage point compared with the previous "Nordkurier" poll in June.
The SPD of Minister President Manuela Schwesig also gained one percentage point and reached 29 percent. The Left Party, which currently governs alongside the SPD, recorded twelve percent, the same figure as in the June survey, as did the CDU with ten percent.
The Greens would just manage to enter the state parliament with five percent, according to the current poll, while the BSW would narrowly fail to do so with four percent. The FDP, at three percent, would definitively drop out.
Schwesig's red-red coalition would no longer have a majority under these figures. Excluding the AfD, various three-party coalitions would be conceivable. However, the CDU rules out any alliance with the Left Party.
A total of 1,000 eligible voters in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania were surveyed over the course of one week beginning last Tuesday. The state election takes place on 20 September, at the same time as the election to Berlin's House of Representatives. Before that, Saxony-Anhalt elects a new state parliament on 6 September.
The election of September 2021 in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was won by the SPD with 39.6 percent, ahead of the AfD with 16.7 percent, the CDU with 13.3 percent and the Left Party with 9.9 percent. The Greens and the FDP also entered the state parliament, with 6.3 percent and 5.8 percent respectively.
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